New York: So, the NFL can be a bit of a maze, right? With all those military terms like trenches and bomb, it can get confusing. But sometimes, the simplest story can lead to a solid betting opportunity, and that’s where the Baltimore Ravens come in.
I’m really liking the bet on Lamar Jackson to go under 28.5 passing attempts in the upcoming game. Why? Well, Todd Monken, the offensive coordinator, has learned from past mistakes. Last year, during the playoffs, he called only 16 run plays, which was a huge blunder given they had the best rushing attack in the league. He got a lot of flak for that, and I doubt he’ll make the same mistake again, especially with Derrick Henry now on the team.
I expect the Ravens to run the ball a lot against the Buffalo Bills, just like they did last week when they beat the Steelers 28-14. They had 50 rushing attempts in that game, with 26 from Henry and 15 from Jackson. Sure, game flow matters, and they had a big lead at halftime, which let them run the clock down.
But even at the start, they were focused on the run. On their first drive, they only threw three passes, and Jackson ran the ball five times in a row. Now, the Bills have a better offense than the Steelers, so they’ll likely have longer drives, which means fewer snaps for the Ravens.
When it comes to betting, I prefer looking at total attempts rather than passing yards. I think the Ravens will still have success passing, as Jackson led the league in yards per attempt. With their strong running game, they should be able to set up some big passing plays.
Of course, if the Ravens fall behind, Jackson might have to throw more, but as bettors, we’re always looking for those little edges, and I think we’ve got one here with this straightforward logic.